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Chengdu and Xi'an lead the new house grabbing, which cities are being robbed

Time: 2018-05-10         Source: Zhigu Trend         Author: intersection uncle

  01

Buying a house with a lottery is an epic suspense film in the Chinese property market.

Seven cities that have implemented the lottery purchases have appeared in this suspense film, and the panic breath is coming:

Nanjing: On November 15th, 2017, within ten days, a total of 3200 suites were opened, and tens of thousands of people lined up in the night and night.

Wuhan: In the first half of December 2017, Wuhan opened 9 sets and sold out on the same day;

Changsha: On November 25, 2017, a real estate in Changsha was publicly shaken, with 167 units of listings and 2298 groups. The winning rate was only 9.5%, which was the lowest in the Changsha market. On December 24, 541 sets were listed. Raised over 5,000 people;

Chengdu: At the beginning of March 2018, more than 50,000 people from 400 suites participated in the lottery, and the winning rate was less than 1%.

Shanghai: On April 21, 2018, a luxury residential building in Shanghai Central opened for sale. 382 sets of luxury houses with a total price of 10 million to 20 million attracted 751 customers. They sold out at noon, with a sales amount of about 5.8 billion.

Xi'an: On April 19, 2018, 700 suites and 5,000 people were shaken;

Hangzhou: On May 7, 2018, nearly 3,000 people grabbed 177 suites, and a 98-year-old grandmother from Hangzhou bought a house...

Grabbing the cabbage-like "rushing the house" from the first- and second-tier cities along the coast into the new frontline of the mainland, the control policy under the tone of "household not to speculate" has long been distorted.

The nearest hotspots are the two western cities, Xi'an and Chengdu, which have been taught textbooks and fine-tuning.

  02

In China, the price of a capital city is too low, it seems to be nailed to the shame column. A few years ago, Zhengzhou and Xi'an house prices were almost flush, but by the beginning of 2017, Zhengzhou's house prices were twice that of Xi'an. In the early period, Xi'an vigorously followed up the five rounds of regulation, but in the end it was unable to withstand the price of housing. Last year, Xi'an's house price rose more than 50%, and this year has accumulated more than 10%.

Source: China's house price network

Xi'an finally has the slogan of "Xi'an is the most Chinese", and proves with strength that it is really the "value of the land" among the population.

According to the China Securities Journal, there was a hot scene of 700 people in the 700 suites. One of Mr. Li lamented, "I have not shaken all the 8 properties, and I have to go to work for two months to buy a house."

This enthusiasm is not only within the jurisdiction of the city. Going to the west of Xi'an, and the guardian village bordering Xianyang City, even if the surrounding transportation facilities are inconvenient, the educational and commercial service facilities are not perfect, and the desire of young people who have just graduated can not be stopped. The 248 suites are imported into the city, and the 100-meter long queue at the entrance of the marketing center. Don't look far from the city, the listings here are still difficult to grab.

The five rounds of property market regulation have been followed up, and Xi'an house prices have gone from silence to eruption.

It can only be said that Xi'an is fortunate, and "the weather, the land, the people and the people" are all occupied.

Tianshi: "Let Xi'an as the leader of the northwest"

In February 2018, the "Guanzhong Plains Urban Agglomeration Development Plan" was officially released, which clarified the status of Xi'an as the ninth national central city. The concept of speculation is a good thing for China's stock market and the property market.

Location: noisy

Xi'an has been in short supply for three consecutive years. According to Yi Juke and Rui statistics, the residential transaction volume in Xi'an in 2017 was 15.7395 million square meters, maintaining more than 15 million square meters for three consecutive years. However, the supply scale in these three years was smaller than the transaction volume in the same period. Among them, the supply scale in 2017 was 13.318 million square meters, the gap was about 15%, and the gap in 2016 was over 60%.

According to the 21st Century Business Herald, industry insiders generally believe that in the popular areas such as Qujiang New District, Economic and Technological Development Zone and High-tech Development Zone, the destocking cycle of residential inventory is less than 5 months. Individuals believe that it is less than three months.

From November last year to March this year, Xi'an's commercial housing was in the “destocking” stage. By the end of March and the beginning of April, most of the inventory was sold, and the new housing was not declared, resulting in the phenomenon of no room to sell in Xi'an market. .

In recent years, due to the need to reduce pollution, Xi'an implemented a “ban on soil” during the winter heating period. During the annual college entrance examination and the senior high school entrance examination, Xi'an also had a one-month downtime. When the air quality is poor, it will also be required to stop working. Counting the impact of the rainy weather, the annual “effective start-up period is only about 6 months”. “Even if the horsepower is added, it is difficult to ensure sufficient supply”.

People and: Qianjun Wanma into Chang'an

In the past two years, the most exciting move in the property market has been “scenery reform”, and Xi’an is no exception. On the basis of completing 40% and 51% of the mooring resettlement rate in 2015 and 2016 respectively, the monetization resettlement rate of Xi'an sheds in the first half of 2017 has reached 70.51%, and the data is very bright.

However, as a second-tier city, Xi'an is still busy "grabbing people."

After the launch of the “most relaxed” policy in history in March 2017, Xi’an really fought, and the leaders also went to Chengdu’s “Tianfu New District Household Registration Center”, which was “a lot of talents to grab the battle”. Learn advanced, find gaps, fill short boards."

In the Spring Festival this year, an eye-catching "population struggle" was officially launched.

In March, the "New Deal for Talents" squadron was set up. The colleges and universities can be settled. The first day, 8,000 people were settled, and 15,000 people were moved in three days. The number of newly registered households in the first quarter reached 300,000. Exceeding the increase in the number of registered households in the whole year of last year, it is not a dream to increase millions per year.

Since the launch of the settlement policy in March 2017, Xi'an has attracted more than 550,000 people to settle down. In the past 10 years from 2007 to 2016, the resident population of Xi'an has only increased by 526,700.

Xi'an is doing a "strict regulation" while doing a foot posture, and can not help but create a large amount of market demand through the "grab people" policy to stimulate the property market, the house price from 8k turned over 2w, it is really magic.

  03

Xi'an's learning object, Chengdu, is even more open in policy.

Chengdu also implements strict restrictions on purchases and price limits. Why is there such a panic in the property market?

First of all, it was also the "grab war" that began last year.

The policy of low thresholds settled in Chengdu for a net increase of 364,000 registered households in Chengdu, a record high, becoming the leader in the city, and the price is certainly proud to record an annual increase of 71%.

 

Source: China's house price network

However, the reason why Chengdu’s 50,000 people grab 400 suites is different from Xi’an.

In addition to the demand brought by the newly introduced talents, there is still a phenomenon behind the incident of looting houses in Chengdu: the prices of new houses and second-hand houses are seriously upside down.

According to the data of the Chain Institute, the proportion of second-hand housing prices in Chengdu in the first quarter of 2018 reached 88%, making it the most serious city in the country.

For this hot-selling property, the average price of hardcover is 14000-16000, while the average price of second-hand houses nearby is between 27,000 and 30,000.

If you buy a new house in the same location, you can get a 50% discount. Who does not want to grab this price?

With the luck of the lottery, this kind of imaginary space is huge, who doesn't want to queue?

If the locals are fortunate enough to get a new house, they will sell their old houses, evade the policy and get the money from the white. Who wouldn’t want to fire this room?

Isn't this "buy and earn"?

What many people have never imagined is that this naked real estate behavior is brought about by the "limit price" policy.

In 2017, 16 hotspot cities under the national key monitoring were once in the State Council to receive the “military order” – the newly opened real estate price increase is not allowed in October 2016, this red line, we must strictly guard against housing prices, otherwise we will not talk about it, ask directly responsibility.

This red line is not difficult for first-tier cities that have already enjoyed a double price. But for Chengdu, a second-line provincial capital with a long rising reflex arc, it is completely a disaster. In October 2016, Chengdu’s housing prices have not yet risen. When the funds began to overflow from the front line, Chengdu second-hand housing began to go all the way, but the new house prices were under the red line in October 2016.

In October 2016, the highest price in the central area of ​​Chengdu was 16,000 square meters. Therefore, the new housing prices in the central area of ​​Chengdu today should not exceed 16,000. This is the origin of the guidance price.

The price limit has caused the price of new homes to be distorted, which has further led to an imbalance between supply and demand.

The tension of the property, on the one hand, is the number of people who robbed, and on the other hand, there are also developers.

Even if the policy is strictly inspected by the developers, but you have a good plan, I have a bridge ladder, and the routine is always more difficult.

In Chengdu, some developers specifically said that the pre-sale certificate was lost, and the opening time can be dragged down. As long as the funds are not tight, they would rather not sell.

The reason for these panic and dissent is that residents are generally enthusiastic about housing prices, just need to worry about housing, and the distortion of policies on the market.

  04

The rush to block the house in Xi'an and Chengdu has greatly condensed the anti-phagosis brought about by all the strict regulation of China.

Most of the looting houses occurred in cities that were ranked as new and strong.

The innate foundations of these cities are just right. Under the Chinese economic trend, they belong to the place where they are expected. Even if there is no “Guangdong, Hong Kong, Macao and Dawan District” and “national central city”, such aura blessings also belong to the population, capital and intelligence in the region. Enter the ground.

Chengdu's first-hand housing and second-hand housing prices are upside down, representing a reason for the Chinese property market to rob the house.

In order to stabilize housing prices, many places in China strictly limit the sales price of first-hand new houses, resulting in the approval of the first-hand housing government sales price is much lower than the transaction price of the second-hand housing market in the same period, ranging from one to two thousand yuan, and more than three or five thousand yuan.

Therefore, under the psychology of “grabbing is earning”, disguised stimulation of the house rush.

As for Xi'an, the special thing is that the mainland cities are too firm in implementing the control policies, but they have missed a wave of national housing prices.

Unexpectedly, the overall policy has become more and more strict in recent years, but the value of the market supply and demand rate will seriously deviate from the retaliatory rebound sooner or later.

The house is of course used to live. However, it is inevitable that there will be serious deviations from the basic laws of the market and control for control.

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