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The report suggests that the proportion of existing stock houses in big cities is the first to introduce real estate taxes

Time: 2018-01-05         Source: China Economic Net         Author: China Economic Net

Economic Daily Beijing, January 5 (Reporter Ma Changyan) January 4, Bank of Communications Financial Research Center in Beijing released the "2018 China's Macroeconomic and Financial Outlook" report (hereinafter referred to as "the report"). For the real estate tax, the report believes that although the real estate tax legislation in the short term the difficulty of completion, but in batches, sub-program gradually landing, differentiated implementation, expanding the proportion of existing stock of key cities may be the first to levy or raise tax rates.

The 2018 real estate market trends, the report believes that with the "housing does not fry" positioning to strengthen and "rent-purchase simultaneously" construction to speed up, real estate market in 2018 growth rate will continue to decline.

Among them, shed change monetarized resettlement effect does not fade in 2018 shed the target number of packages to 5.8 million units, the proportion of monetization will continue to increase the trend. The report estimates that in 2018 shed change can also bring at least 300 million square meters of commercial housing sales.

While the effect of gradual withdrawal from de-stocking policies will be greater. Third- and fourth-tier cities, accounting for more than 60% of the sales area, will gradually withdraw from the stimulus policies for de-stocking and the real estate transactions lose their important support.

In general, the sales area of ​​commercial buildings increased or dropped to -10% -5% yoy. Among them, sales momentum in the third and fourth tier cities weakened, the growth rate will once again fall to a second-tier cities. The "chain logic" between the sales of real estate and investment in development remains unchanged. The slowdown of transactions and the tightening of funds will still restrict the follow-up development. However, the slow growth of new starts and land transactions will not cause the real estate investment growth to decline sharply , Or you can achieve positive growth of less than 5%.

The report believes that the 2018 "limit + limit + limit + restricted" four-in-one comprehensive and stringent control will continue, long-term mechanism will be "rent and buy simultaneously" as the center to accelerate.

In advancing the "rent-purchase simultaneously", the report suggests that increasing the supply of housing leasing in cities with large population inflow pressures, and grasping the supply of commodity housing land to prevent the formation of "disguised diversion" induced land prices and rising prices. Local housing management departments should strengthen cooperation with governments and enterprises of Internet and information service companies to set up an official transaction and service platform for housing leasing to provide basis for housing supply and transaction supervision. Recommended for individual rental housing provide rental subsidies, a tax deduction, provident fund payment of rent and other reasonable incentives.

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