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The report suggests that stocks account for the first place to levy real estate taxes

Time: 2018-01-05         Source: China Economic Net         Author: China Economic Net

Economic Daily - China Economic Net Beijing January 5 (Reporter Ma Changyan) On January 4, the Bank of Communications Financial Research Center released the "2018 China Macroeconomic and Financial Outlook" report (hereinafter referred to as the "Report") in Beijing. In response to the real estate tax, the report believes that although the real estate tax legislation is difficult to complete in the short term, it can be gradually implemented in batches and sub-programs, and differentiated implementation. Key cities with an increasing proportion of stocks can be the first to levy or increase the tax rate.

Regarding the trend of the real estate market in 2018, the report believes that with the strengthening of the positioning of “staying and not speculating” and the acceleration of the construction of “rental and purchase”, the growth rate of real estate market in 2018 will continue to decline.

Among them, the monetary resettlement effect of the sheds will not fade. In 2018, the target number of sheds will be 5.8 million sets, and the proportion of monetized resettlement will continue to increase. According to the report, in 2018, the monetary resettlement of sheds can bring at least 300 million square meters of commercial housing sales.

The gradual withdrawal of the destocking policy has a greater impact. The third- and fourth-tier cities, which account for more than 60% of the sales area, will gradually withdraw from various de-stocking stimulus policies, and commercial housing transactions will lose important support.

In general, the sales growth of commercial housing has dropped to -10%~-5%. Among them, the sales momentum of the third- and fourth-tier cities is weakening, and the growth rate will once again fall below the first- and second-tier cities. The “chain logic” between commercial housing sales and development investment remains unchanged. The slowdown in transactions and the tightening of funds will still constrain the subsequent development. The new construction and land transaction growth rate will not slow down the growth rate of real estate investment. , or can achieve positive growth within 5%.

The report believes that the comprehensive control of the four-in-one "restricted purchase + limit loan + limit price + restricted sale" will continue in 2018, and the long-term mechanism will be accelerated with the focus of "rental purchase and purchase".

In promoting the "rental purchase and purchase", the report recommends that while increasing the housing rental land supply in cities with high population inflow pressure, we should grasp the supply of commercial housing land and prevent the formation of "disguised crowding" to induce land prices and housing prices to rise. The local housing management department should strengthen cooperation with the government and enterprises of the Internet and information service companies to build an official transaction and service platform for housing leasing, and provide a basis for housing supply and transaction supervision. It is recommended to provide reasonable preferential measures such as rental subsidies, tax deductions, and provident fund payment for rents for individuals applying for rental housing.

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